Hurricane seizoen Atlantische Oceaan 2019

Alles wat betrekking heeft op het buitenlands weer. Tropische stormen, orkanen, etc.
Frank
Berichten: 17
Lid geworden op: 01-01-1974

Re: Hurricane seizoen Atlantische Oceaan 2019

Bericht door Frank » 04-09-2019 05:59

BULLETIN
Hurricane Dorian Advisory Number 43
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1100 PM EDT Tue Sep 03 2019

...DORIAN CONTINUES TO LASH THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.4N 79.0W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM E OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Storm Surge Watch has been extended northward from Duck NC to
Poquoson VA, including Hampton Roads.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Jupiter Inlet FL to Surf City NC

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* North of Surf City NC to Poquoson VA, including Hampton Roads
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
* Neuse and Pamlico Rivers

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Sebastian Inlet FL to Ponte Vedra Beach FL
* North of Savannah River to Surf City NC

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of Ponte Vedra Beach FL to Savannah River
* North of Surf City NC to the North Carolina/Virginia border
* Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Grand Bahama and the Abacos Islands in the northwestern Bahamas
* North of Ponte Vedra Beach FL to Savannah River
* Jupiter Inlet FL to Sebastian Inlet FL

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The North Carolina/Virginia border to Chincoteague VA
* Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point southward

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a
life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the Mid-Atlantic coast of the United
States should continue to monitor the progress of Dorian, as
additional watches or warnings may be required later tonight and
Wednesday.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Dorian was
located near latitude 28.4 North, longitude 79.0 West. Dorian is
moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and a
slightly faster motion toward the northwest or north-northwest is
expected through early Wednesday. A turn toward the north is
forecast by Wednesday evening, followed by a turn toward the
north-northeast on Thursday morning. On this track, the core of
Hurricane Dorian will move dangerously close to the Florida east
coast and the Georgia coast through Wednesday night. The
center of Dorian is forecast to move near or over the coast of South
Carolina and North Carolina Thursday through Friday morning.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected during the next
couple of days, and Dorian is expected to remain a powerful
hurricane during the next few days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 959 mb (28.32 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue on Grand Bahama
Island and along the Treasure Coast of Florida for a few
more hours. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin within
the Tropical Storm Warning area in north Florida and Georgia by
early Wednesday.

Hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the Hurricane
Warning area in Florida by early Wednesday. Tropical storm
conditions will begin within the Hurricane Warning area in the
Carolinas Wednesday, with hurricane conditions by Wednesday night.

STORM SURGE: Water levels should very slowly subside on Grand
Bahamas Island and the Abaco Islands through tonight. Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Savannah River to Cape Lookout NC...4 to 7 ft
Volusia/Brevard County Line FL to Savannah River...3 to 5 ft
Cape Lookout NC to Duck NC, including Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
and the Neuse and Pamlico Rivers...3 to 5 ft
Jupiter Inlet FL to Volusia/Brevard County Line FL...2 to 4 ft
Duck NC to Poquoson VA, including Hampton Roads...2 to 4 ft

Water levels could begin to rise well in advance of the arrival of
strong winds. The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the how close
the center of Dorian comes to the coast, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
totals through Friday:

Northwestern Bahamas...Additional 1 to 4 inches, isolated storm
totals over 30 inches.
Coastal Carolinas...5 to 10 inches, isolated 15 inches.
Atlantic Coast from Sebastian, Florida to the Georgia, South
Carolina border...3 to 6 inches.
Far southeast Virginia...3 to 6 inches.

This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods.

SURF: Large swells will affect the northwestern Bahamas, and
the entire southeastern United States coast from Florida through
North Carolina during the next several days. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two are possible near the immediate east
coast of Florida during the next several hours. This risk will
shift to along the immediate coasts of Georgia and the Carolinas on
Wednesday into Thursday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Frank
Berichten: 17
Lid geworden op: 01-01-1974

Re: Hurricane seizoen Atlantische Oceaan 2019

Bericht door Frank » 04-09-2019 17:12

BULLETIN
Hurricane Dorian Advisory Number 45
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1100 AM EDT Wed Sep 04 2019

...HURRICANE WARNING EXTENDED NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST...
...DORIAN STILL MOVING PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.8N 79.7W
ABOUT 90 MI...140 KM ENE OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA
ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM S OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Storm Surge Warning has been extended northward to the North
Carolina/Virginia border, including Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds
and the Neuse and Pamlico Rivers.

The Hurricane Warning has been extended northward to the North
Carolina/Virginia border, including Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds.

The Storm Surge Warning has been been discontinued from Port
Canaveral, Florida southward.

The Hurricane Warning for the northeastern coast of Florida from the
Volusia/Brevard County line to Ponte Vedra Beach has been changed
to a Tropical Storm Warning.

The Tropical Storm Warning for the east coast of Florida has been
discontinued south of the Volusia/Brevard County line.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* North of Port Canaveral FL to the North Carolina/Virginia border
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
* Neuse and Pamlico Rivers

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* North Carolina/Virginia border to Poquoson VA, including Hampton
Roads

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* North of Savannah River to the North Carolina/Virginia border
* Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of Ponte Vedra Beach FL to Savannah River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Volusia/Brevard County FL line to Savannah River

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The North Carolina/Virginia border to Chincoteague VA
* Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point southward

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a
life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the Mid-Atlantic coast of the United
States should continue to monitor the progress of Dorian, as
additional watches or warnings may be required later today.
Interests in southeastern New England should also monitor the
progress of the hurricane.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Dorian was
located near latitude 29.8 North, longitude 79.7 West. Dorian is
moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the north is
expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the northeast on
Thursday. On this track, the core of Hurricane Dorian will move
parallel to the Florida east coast and the Georgia coast through
tonight. The center of Dorian is forecast to move near or over the
coast of South Carolina and North Carolina Thursday through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts. A slow weakening is expected during the next few days.
However, Dorian is expected to remain a powerful hurricane during
this time.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to
175 miles (280 km). NOAA buoy 41008, located off the Georgia
coast, recently reported sustained winds of 40 mph (65 km/h) and a
wind gust of 47 mph (76 km/h).

The minimum central pressure just reported by an Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 964 mb (28.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are currently affecting portions of
the northeastern coast of Florida, and should begin along the
Georgia coast later this morning.

Tropical storm conditions will begin within the Hurricane Warning
area in the Carolinas later today, with hurricane conditions by
late tonight and Thursday.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Isle of Palms to Myrtle Beach SC...5 to 8 ft
Savannah River to Isle of Palms SC...4 to 7 ft
Myrtle Beach SC to Cape Lookout NC...4 to 7 ft
Cape Lookout NC to Duck NC, including Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
and the Neuse and Pamlico Rivers...4 to 6 ft
Volusia/Brevard County Line FL to Savannah River...3 to 5 ft
North of Port Canaveral FL to Volusia/Brevard County Line FL...2 to
4 ft
Duck NC to Poquoson VA, including Hampton Roads...2 to 4 ft

Water levels could begin to rise well in advance of the arrival of
strong winds. The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the how close
the center of Dorian comes to the coast, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
totals through Friday:

Coastal Carolinas...5 to 10 inches, isolated 15 inches.

Atlantic Coast from Daytona Beach, Florida to the Georgia-South
Carolina border...3 to 6 inches, with isolated 9 inches near the
Georgia coast.

Southeast Virginia...3 to 6 inches.

This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods.

SURF: Large swells will affect the northwestern Bahamas, and
the entire southeastern United States coast from Florida through
North Carolina during the next several days. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two are possible along the immediate coast
of Georgia this afternoon. Isolated tornadoes are possible from this
evening through Thursday across the coastal Carolinas.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Frank
Berichten: 17
Lid geworden op: 01-01-1974

Re: Hurricane seizoen Atlantische Oceaan 2019

Bericht door Frank » 05-09-2019 06:17

BULLETIN
Hurricane Dorian Advisory Number 47
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1100 PM EDT Wed Sep 04 2019

...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE WITH SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING
IS EXPECTED ALONG A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC
COASTS OF THE UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.3N 79.6W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

All watches and warnings for the east coast of Florida south of
the Mouth of St. Mary's River have been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of St. Mary's River to Poquoson VA
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
* Neuse and Pamlico Rivers
* Hampton Roads

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* North of Savannah River to the North Carolina/Virginia border
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Mouth of St. Mary's River to Savannah River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of St. Mary's River to Savannah River
* North Carolina/Virginia border to Chincoteague VA
* Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point southward

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of Chincoteague VA to Fenwick Island DE
* Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point to Drum Point
* Tidal Potomac south of Cobb Island

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a
life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the Mid-Atlantic coast of the United
States should continue to monitor the progress of Dorian, as
additional watches or warnings may be required later today.
Interests in southeastern New England should also monitor the
progress of the hurricane.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Dorian was located
near latitude 31.3 North, longitude 79.6 West. Dorian is moving
toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn to the north-
northeast is anticipated on Thursday, with a turn toward the
northeast on Thursday night. A northeastward motion at a faster
forward speed is forecast on Friday. On the forecast track, the
center of Dorian will continue to approach the coast of South
Carolina tonight, move near or over the coast of South Carolina on
Thursday, and then move near or over the coast of North Carolina
Thursday night and Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are now near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher
gusts. Dorian is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are
expected during the next 12 hours, followed by slow weakening
Thursday through Friday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles
(315 km).

The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force plane was 955
mb (28.20 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are currently affecting portions of
the Georgia and southern South Carolina coasts, and should begin
along other portions of the South Carolina coast during the next
several hours.

Tropical storm conditions will begin elsewhere within the Hurricane
Warning area in the Carolinas tonight, with hurricane conditions
beginning on Thursday.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm
Warning area in the Mid-Atlantic states by Friday, with tropical
storm conditions possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area Friday
or Friday night.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Isle of Palms to Myrtle Beach SC...5 to 8 ft
Savannah River to Isle of Palms SC...4 to 7 ft
Myrtle Beach SC to Cape Lookout NC...4 to 7 ft
Cape Lookout NC to Duck NC, including Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
and the Neuse and Pamlico Rivers...4 to 6 ft
North of Mouth of St. Mary's River to Savannah River...3 to 5 ft
Duck NC to Poquoson VA, including Hampton Roads...2 to 4 ft

Water levels could begin to rise well in advance of the arrival of
strong winds. The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the how close
the center of Dorian comes to the coast, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
totals through Friday:

Coastal Carolinas...6 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches.
Coastal Georgia...2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches
Far southeast Virginia...3 to 6 inches.

This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods.

SURF: Large swells will affect the northwestern Bahamas, and
the entire southeastern United States coast from Florida through
North Carolina during the next several days. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes will be possible through Thursday
across the coastal Carolinas.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

Frank
Berichten: 17
Lid geworden op: 01-01-1974

Re: Hurricane seizoen Atlantische Oceaan 2019

Bericht door Frank » 05-09-2019 06:31

Gedurende deze dagen stel ik een YouTube afspeellijst betreffende Dorian samen.
Zodra zich relevante video's aandienen, worden die opgenomen in de afspeellijst.
Hieronder de link naar de afspeelijst:

https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=P ... lymer=true

Frank
Berichten: 17
Lid geworden op: 01-01-1974

Re: Hurricane seizoen Atlantische Oceaan 2019

Bericht door Frank » 05-09-2019 17:05

BULLETIN
Hurricane Dorian Advisory Number 49
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1100 AM EDT Thu Sep 05 2019

...EYEWALL OF DORIAN JUST OFFSHORE OF THE EASTERN COAST OF SOUTH
CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.5N 79.1W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM ESE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended northward to Fenwick
Island, Delaware, and also extended northward in the Chesapeake Bay
to Drum Point, including the Tidal Potomac River south of Cobb
Island.

The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued south of Edisto Beach,
South Carolina.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Edisto Beach SC to Poquoson VA
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
* Neuse and Pamlico Rivers
* Hampton Roads

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Savannah River to the North Carolina/Virginia border
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North Carolina/Virginia border to Fenwick Island DE
* Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point southward
* Tidal Potomac south of Cobb Island
* Altamaha Sound GA to Savannah River

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Woods Hole to Sagamore Beach MA
* Nantucket and Martha's Vineyard MA

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a
life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts of
the United States, and Atlantic Canada, should continue to monitor
the progress of Dorian.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Dorian was
located near latitude 32.5 North, longitude 79.1 West. Dorian is
moving toward the north-northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn
toward the northeast is anticipated by tonight, and a northeastward
motion at a faster forward speed is forecast on Friday. On the
forecast track, the center of Dorian will continue to move close to
the coast of South Carolina today, and then move near or over the
coast of North Carolina tonight and Friday. The center should move
to the southeast of extreme southeastern New England Friday night
and Saturday morning, and approach Nova Scotia later on Saturday.

Reports from Air Force Reserve and NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds are now near 110 mph (175
km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is expected during the
next few days. However, Dorian is expected to remain a powerful
hurricane as the center moves near the coasts of South and North
Carolina.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles
(315 km). The Weatherflow station at Winyah Bay, South Carolina,
recently reported sustained winds of 60 mph (97 km/h) and a wind
gust of 76 mph (122 km/h). Charleston International Airport
recently reported sustained winds of 40 mph (64 km/h) and a wind
gust of 56 mph (91 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 958 mb (28.29 inches).
NOAA buoy 41004, currently located inside the eye, has reported a
minimum pressure of 959.7 mb (28.34 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are currently affecting portions of
the Georgia and South Carolina coasts. Hurricane conditions are
expected along portions of the South Carolina coast during the next
several hours.

Tropical storm conditions are spreading along the coast of North
Carolina, and hurricane conditions are expected to begin later
today.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm
Warning area in the Mid-Atlantic states by Friday, with tropical
storm conditions possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area Friday
or Friday night.

Tropical storm conditions are possible over portions of
southeastern Massachusetts by late Friday or early Saturday.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Awendaw SC to Myrtle Beach SC...5 to 8 ft
Myrtle Beach SC to Duck NC, including Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
and the Neuse and Pamlico Rivers...4 to 7 ft
Duck NC to Poquoson VA, including Hampton Roads...2 to 4 ft
Edisto Beach SC to Awendaw SC...2 to 4 ft

Water levels could begin to rise well in advance of the arrival of
strong winds. The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the how close
the center of Dorian comes to the coast, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
totals through Friday:

Coastal Carolinas...6 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches
Far southeast Virginia...3 to 8 inches
Extreme southeastern New England...2 to 4 inches

This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods.

SURF: Large swells will affect the northwestern Bahamas, and
the entire southeastern United States coast from Florida through
North Carolina during the next few days. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

TORNADOES: Tornadoes are possible through this afternoon across
eastern North Carolina and the upper South Carolina coast. The
tornado threat will continue tonight across eastern North Carolina
into southeast Virginia.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Frank
Berichten: 17
Lid geworden op: 01-01-1974

Re: Hurricane seizoen Atlantische Oceaan 2019

Bericht door Frank » 06-09-2019 06:14

BULLETIN
Hurricane Dorian Advisory Number 51
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1100 PM EDT Thu Sep 05 2019

...CORE OF HURRICANE DORIAN BRUSHING THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.8N 77.4W
ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM SE OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SW OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Canadian Hurricane Center has issued a Hurricane Watch for
all of Nova Scotia, a Tropical Storm Watch for Prince Edward Island
and for the Magdalen Islands, and for New Brunswick from Fundy
National Park to Shediac. Also a Tropical Storm Watch was issued for
Newfoundland from Francois to Boat Harbour.

The Tropical Storm Warning south of South Santee River has been
discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Fear to Poquoson VA
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
* Neuse and Pamlico Rivers
* Hampton Roads

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* South Santee River to the North Carolina/Virginia border
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Nova Scotia

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North Carolina/Virginia border to Fenwick Island DE
* Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point southward
* Tidal Potomac south of Cobb Island
* Woods Hole to Sagamore Beach MA
* Nantucket and Martha's Vineyard MA

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Prince Edward Island
* Magdalen Islands
* Fundy National Park to Shediac.
* Francois to Boat Harbour.

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a
life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts of
the United States, and Atlantic Canada, should continue to monitor
the progress of Dorian.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Dorian was located
near latitude 33.8 North, longitude 77.4 West. Dorian is moving
toward the northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion
is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed through
Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Dorian will move
near or over the coast of North Carolina tonight and Friday. The
center should move to the southeast of extreme southeastern New
England Friday night and Saturday morning, and approach Nova Scotia
later Saturday or Saturday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher
gusts. Slow weakening is expected during the next few days.
However, Dorian is expected to remain a powerful hurricane as the
center moves near the coasts of South and North Carolina. Dorian is
forecast to become a hurricane-force post-tropical cyclone by
Saturday night as it approaches Nova Scotia.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles
(350 km). A Weatherflow station located Federal Point, North
Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 61 mph (98 km/h) and
a gust to 75 mph (121 km/h). The Johnny Mercer Pier NOAA-NOS station
located at Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina, recently measured a
sustained wind of 52 mph (84 km/h) and a gust of 63 mph (101 km/h).

The minimum central pressure is estimated to be 958 mb (28.29
inches) based on a recent report of 958.9 mb (28.32 inches) from
Frying Pan Shoals buoy located in Dorian's eye.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are spreading along portions of the
North Carolina coast. Tropical storm conditions are still affecting
the northern portion of the South Carolina coast.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm
Warning area in the Mid-Atlantic states by Friday and over
portions of extreme southeastern Massachusetts by late Friday or
early Saturday.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Cape Fear to Duck NC, including Pamlico and Albemarle
Sounds and the Neuse and Pamlico Rivers...4 to 7 ft
Duck NC to Poquoson VA, including Hampton Roads...2 to 4 ft

Water levels could begin to rise well in advance of the arrival of
strong winds. The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the how close
the center of Dorian comes to the coast, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
totals through Friday Night:

South Carolina...Additional amounts up to a half inch, isolated
storm totals of 12 inches.

Eastern North Carolina...Additional 3 to 8 inches, isolated storm
totals of 15 inches.

Far southeast Virginia...3 to 8 inches.

Extreme Southeastern New England...2 to 4 inches.

This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods.

SURF: Large swells will affect the northwestern Bahamas, and
the entire southeastern United States coast from Florida through
North Carolina during the next few days. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

TORNADOES: Tornadoes are possible through early Friday across
eastern North Carolina into southeast Virginia.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

Frank
Berichten: 17
Lid geworden op: 01-01-1974

Re: Hurricane seizoen Atlantische Oceaan 2019

Bericht door Frank » 06-09-2019 17:16

BULLETIN
Hurricane Dorian Advisory Number 53
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1100 AM EDT Fri Sep 06 2019

...EYE OF DORIAN MOVING OVER THE ATLANTIC EAST OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.7N 74.8W
ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM NE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM SW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect east of Bar Harbor,
Maine, to Eastport, Maine.

The Hurricane Warning has been discontinued west of Bogue Inlet,
North Carolina.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Salter Path NC to Poquoson VA
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
* Neuse and Pamlico Rivers
* Hampton Roads

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Bogue Inlet to the North Carolina/Virginia border
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Nova Scotia

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North Carolina/Virginia border to Fenwick Island DE
* Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point southward
* Tidal Potomac south of Cobb Island
* Woods Hole to Sagamore Beach MA
* Nantucket and Martha's Vineyard MA
* East of Bar Harbor to Eastport ME

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Prince Edward Island
* Magdalen Islands
* Fundy National Park to Shediac
* Francois to Boat Harbour

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.
This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these
areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property
from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts of
the United States should monitor the progress of Dorian.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Dorian was
located near latitude 35.7 North, longitude 74.8 West. Dorian is
moving toward the northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this general
motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through
Saturday night. On the forecast track, the center of Dorian will
move away from the coast of North Carolina during the next several
hours. The center should move to the southeast of extreme
southeastern New England tonight and Saturday morning, and then
across Nova Scotia late Saturday or Saturday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Slow weakening is expected through Saturday. After that,
Dorian is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone with
hurricane-force winds by Saturday night as it approaches Nova
Scotia.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles
(350 km). About an hour ago, a Weatherflow station at Avon Sound,
North Carolina reported a sustained wind of 83 mph (134 km/h) and a
wind gust of 98 mph (158 km/h).

The minimum central pressure based on Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter data and surface observations is 957 mb (28.26 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions should end along portions of the
North Carolina coast during the next few hours. Tropical storm
conditions should continue on the southeastern coast of Virginia for
the next several hours, and are expected to spread across other
portions of the the Mid-Atlantic states later today. Tropical
storm conditions are also expected in the warning area over portions
of extreme southeastern Massachusetts tonight or early Saturday,
and in the warning area in Maine Saturday afternoon

Hurricane conditions are possible in Nova Scotia and Prince
Edward Island Saturday, and tropical storm conditions are possible
over other portions of the Canadian Maritime and Atlantic areas
Saturday and Saturday night.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Salter Path to Duck NC, including Pamlico and Albemarle
Sounds and the Neuse and Pamlico Rivers...4 to 7 ft
Duck NC to Poquoson VA, including Hampton Roads...2 to 4 ft

Water levels could begin to rise well in advance of the arrival of
strong winds. The surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the how close
the center of Dorian comes to the coast, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

Storm Surge is likely in the Gulf of St. Lawrence, the Southwest
Coast of Newfoundland, and Eastern Nova Scotia.

RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
totals through Saturday:

Northeastern North Carolina into far southeast Virginia...Additional
1 to 4 inches, isolated storm totals 10 inches.

Extreme Southeastern New England...2 to 4 inches.

Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island...3 to 5 inches.

Newfoundland...1 to 2 inches

This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods

SURF: Large swells will affect much of the southeastern United
States coast from northern Florida through North Carolina during
the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Frank
Berichten: 17
Lid geworden op: 01-01-1974

Re: Hurricane seizoen Atlantische Oceaan 2019

Bericht door Frank » 07-09-2019 06:41

BULLETIN
Hurricane Dorian Advisory Number 55
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1100 PM EDT Fri Sep 06 2019

...DORIAN HEADING FOR NOVA SCOTIA IN A HURRY...
...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA LATE
SATURDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.3N 70.2W
ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM S OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
ABOUT 555 MI...890 KM SW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Canadian Hurricane Center has adjusted the warnings for Nova
Scotia and New Brunswick and a hurricane warning is now in effect
from Lower East Pubnico eastward around Nova Scotia to Avonport, and
the tropical storm warning is effect from Tidnish to Brule and from
Fundy National Park to Shediac.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Eastern Nova Scotia from Lower East Pubnico to Avonport

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Southwestern Nova Scotia from Avonport to north of Lower East
Pubnico.
* Prince Edward Island
* Magdalen Islands
* Southwestern Newfoundland from Parson's Pond to Indian
Harbour

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Woods Hole to Sagamore Beach MA
* Nantucket and Martha's Vineyard MA
* East of Bar Harbor to Eastport ME
* Prince Edward Island
* Southwestern Nova Scotia from Avonport to north of Lower East
Pubnico
* Fundy National Park to Shediac

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Parson's Pond to Triton
* Indian Harbour to Stone's Cove

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area in this case within the next 12
to 24 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 to 36 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts of
the United States should monitor the progress of Dorian.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Dorian was
located near latitude 38.3 North, longitude 70.2 West. Dorian is
moving toward the northeast near 25 mph (41 km/h), and this general
motion with some increase in forward speed is expected through
Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Dorian should pass
to the southeast of extreme southeastern New England Saturday
morning, and then across Nova Scotia late Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slight weakening is forecast, but Dorian is expected to
move over Nova Scotia with hurricane force winds. Thereafter, Dorian
is forecast to become a powerful post-tropical cyclone over eastern
Canada.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230
miles (370 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
over portions of extreme southeastern Massachusetts tonight or early
Saturday, and in the warning area in Maine Saturday afternoon.

Regardless of whether Dorian is a hurricane or a post-tropical
cyclone, hurricane conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning
area Saturday, and they are possible in the Hurricane Watch area
Saturday or Saturday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected
in the Tropical Storm Warning area in Canada by Saturday, and they
are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area Saturday and Saturday
night.

STORM SURGE: Storm Surge is likely in the Gulf of St. Lawrence, the
Southwest Coast of Newfoundland, and Eastern Nova Scotia.

RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
totals through Saturday:

Extreme Southeastern New England and far eastern Maine...1 to 4
inches.

Nova Scotia...3 to 5 inches, isolated 7 inches.

New Brunswick and Prince Edward Island...2 to 4 inches

Newfoundland...1 to 2 inches

This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods

SURF: Large swells will affect much of the southeastern United
States coast from northern Florida through North Carolina during
the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

Frank
Berichten: 17
Lid geworden op: 01-01-1974

Re: Hurricane seizoen Atlantische Oceaan 2019

Bericht door Frank » 08-09-2019 00:09

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Advisory Number 59
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
500 PM AST Sat Sep 07 2019

...DORIAN BECOMES A HURRICANE-FORCE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...CENTER NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...43.9N 63.9W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM ESE OF EASTPORT MAINE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Eastern Nova Scotia from Lower East Pubnico to Brule
* Western Newfoundland from Indian Harbour to Hawke's Bay

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Prince Edward Island
* Magdalen Islands

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* East of Bar Harbor to Eastport ME
* Prince Edward Island
* Southwestern Nova Scotia from Avonport to north of Lower East
Pubnico
* Fundy National Park to Shediac
* Stone's Cove to Indian Harbour
* Hawke's Bay to Fogo Island
* Mutton Bay to Mary's Harbour

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area in this case within the next 12
hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian
was located near latitude 43.9 North, longitude 63.9 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 30 mph
(48 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the
next 24 hours. After that, a turn toward the east-northeast is
expected. On the forecast track, the center of Dorian should cross
the coast of Nova Scotia near Halifax during the next few hours,
then move across eastern Nova Scotia into the Gulf of St. Lawrence
near Prince Edward Island tonight. The center should then pass near
or over northern Newfoundland and eastern Labrador late tonight or
Sunday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher
gusts. The post-tropical cyclone is expected to weaken during the
next couple of days, and it is forecast to drop below hurricane
strength by Sunday morning.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) to
the south of the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend
outward up to 310 miles (500 km). Osbourne Head, Nova Scotia,
recently reported sustained winds of 68 mph (109 km/h) and a wind
gust of 88 mph (142 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 953 mb (28.15 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are spreading across much of Nova
Scotia, and hurricane conditions are expected to spread over
portions of Nova Scotia during the next few hours. Hurricane
conditions are also expected elsewhere in the Hurricane Warning
area later tonight. Hurricane conditions are also possible in the
Hurricane Watch area tonight. Tropical storm conditions are
expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area tonight and Sunday.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning
area in Maine during the next few hours.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is likely in the Gulf of St.
Lawrence, the Southwest Coast of Newfoundland, and Eastern Nova
Scotia.

RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
totals through Saturday Night:

Far eastern Maine...1 to 3 inches.
Nova Scotia...3 to 5 inches, isolated 7 inches.
New Brunswick and Prince Edward Island...2 to 4 inches
Newfoundland and far eastern Quebec...1 to 2 inches

These rainfall amounts could result in flash flooding.

SURF: Large swells are increasing along the coast in Atlantic
Canada, and they will continue to affect that area during the next
few days. Swells along the mid-Atlantic and New England coasts of
the U.S. will continue for a couple of more days. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Frank
Berichten: 17
Lid geworden op: 01-01-1974

Re: Hurricane seizoen Atlantische Oceaan 2019

Bericht door Frank » 08-09-2019 06:34

Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Advisory Number 60
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1100 PM AST Sat Sep 07 2019

...DORIAN WREAKING HAVOC OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...
...HALF A MILLION CUSTOMERS WITH NO POWER...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...46.3N 62.1W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM S OF MADGALEN ISLANDS
ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM SW OF CAPE ST GEORGE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Eastern Nova Scotia from Lower East Pubnico to Brule
* Western Newfoundland from Indian Harbour to Hawke's Bay

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Prince Edward Island
* Magdalen Islands

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Prince Edward Island
* Southwestern Nova Scotia from Avonport to north of Lower East
Pubnico
* Fundy National Park to Shediac
* Stone's Cove to Indian Harbour
* Hawke's Bay to Fogo Island
* Mutton Bay to Mary's Harbour
* Magdalen Islands

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Dorian was located near latitude 46.3 North, longitude 62.1 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northeast near
26 mph (43 km/h), and this general motion with a turn to the
northeast is expected during the next couple of days. On this
track, Dorian will be moving near or over western Newfoundland
on Sunday and then enter the North Atlantic late Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. These winds are occcuring mainly over water. The
post-tropical cyclone is forecast to drop below hurricane
strength on Sunday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310
miles (500 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are still occuring
over portions of Nova Scotia. Hurricane conditions are also expected
elsewhere in the Hurricane Warning area overnight and Sunday.
Hurricane conditions are also possible in the Hurricane Watch area
overnight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical
Storm Warning area on Sunday.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is likely in the Gulf of St.
Lawrence, the Southwest Coast of Newfoundland, and Eastern Nova
Scotia.

RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
totals through Sunday Night:

Nova Scotia...3 to 5 inches, isolated 7 inches.
New Brunswick and Prince Edward Island...2 to 4 inches
Newfoundland and far eastern Quebec...1 to 2 inches

These rainfall amounts could result in flash flooding.

SURF: Large swells are affecting the coast of Atlantic Canada, and
they will continue to affect that area during the next few days.
Swells along the mid-Atlantic and New England coasts of the U.S.
will continue for a couple of more days. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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