Golf van Bengalen tropische cyclonen 2013
Re: Golf van Bengalen tropische cyclonen 2013
Tropical Cyclone PHAILIN (922hPa, 135kts, categorie 5) is aangekomen op 15,8N, 88,8 E en vormt inmiddels een zeer grote bedreiging voor de kust van India. Komt daar als categorie 4 storm morgenochtend aan volgens de modelberekeningen.
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- Berichten: 1819
Re: Golf van Bengalen tropische cyclonen 2013
140 kts, 918 hPa, inslag zal als volle cat 5 geschieden volgens nieuwste berekeningen. Zeer groot systeem ook.
Tragedie te vrezen.
Cat 2'tje loopt nu trouwens de Filippijnen in.
Tragedie te vrezen.
Cat 2'tje loopt nu trouwens de Filippijnen in.
Re: Golf van Bengalen tropische cyclonen 2013
Hij zit nu in een eyewall replacement
Re: Golf van Bengalen tropische cyclonen 2013
Tropical Cyclone PHAILIN bedekt de gehele Golf van Bengalen. Op bijgaande MetopA opname van vanmiddag is dat met behulp van Satsignal software duidelijk te zien. Wolkentoppen temperatuur ruim -80 graden. Het oog is van flinke omvang. "© EUMETSAT 2013
Laatst gewijzigd door Karel op 11-10-2013 20:29, 1 keer totaal gewijzigd.
Re: Golf van Bengalen tropische cyclonen 2013
PHAILIN inmiddels weer afgezwakt tot categorie-4 cyclone. Komt vanmiddag bij India (Orissa) aan de kust en zwakt af tot categorie-2.
Re: Golf van Bengalen tropische cyclonen 2013
De laatste meldingen over PHAILIN uit INDIA.
"TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
RSMC – TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI
TROPICAL STORM ‘PHAILIN’ ADVISORY NO. TWENTY FIVE ISSUED AT 1400 UTC OF 12THOCTOBER 2013 BASED ON 1200 UTC CHARTS of 12THOCTOBER 2013.
THE VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM, PHAILIN OVER WESTCENTRAL & ADJOINING NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS DURING PAST 3 HOURS WITH A SPEED OF 20 KMPH AND LAY CENTRED AT 1200 UTC OF TODAY, THE 12THOCTOBER 2013 OVER WESTCENTRAL & ADJOINING NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL NEAR LATITUDE 18.70 N AND LONGITUDE 85.20 E, ABOUT 65 KM SOUTHEAST OF GOPALPUR (43049). IT WOULD MOVE NORTHWESTWARDS AND CROSS NORTH ANDHRA PRADESH AND ODISHA COASTS CLOSE TO GOPALPUR (ODISHA) WITHIN FEW HOURS AS A VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM WITH A MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OF 210-220 KMPH GUSTING TO 240 KMPH.
ACCORDING TO SATELLITE IMAGERIES, THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM IS T 6.0. INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION IS SEEN BETWEEN LAT 12.50 N TO 21.00 N AND WEST OF LONG 90.00 E ALONG ODISHA AND NORTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH. THE LOWEST CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE (CTT) IS ABOUT -740C.
DWR VISAKHAPATNAM IS TRACKING THE SYSTEM AND REPORTED CENTRE AS LATITUDE 18.7 0N AND LONGITUDE 85.20E AT 1200 UTC.
GOPALPUR (43049) HAS REPORTED MAXIMUM 24 HOURS PRESSURE FALL OF 24.4 HPA, MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 90 KNOTS FROM EASTERLY DIRECTION HAS BEEN REPORTED OVER PURI (ODISHA).
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND SPEED IS ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 120 KNOTS AROUND THE SYSTEM
CENTRE. THE STATE OF THE SEA IS PHENOMENAL AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE.
THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ABOUT 936 HPA.
ESTIMATED TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM ARE GIVEN IN THE TABLE BELOW:DATE/TIME(UTC) POSITION
(LAT. 0N/ LONG. 0E) SUSTAINED MAXIMUM
SURFACE WIND SPEED (KMPH) CATEGORY
12-10-2013/1200 18.7/85.2 210-220 GUSTING TO 240 VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
12-10-2013/1800 20.2/84.3 170-180 GUSTING TO 200 VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
13-10-2013/0000 21.2/84.0 80-90 GUSTING TO 100 CYCLONIC STORM
13-10-2013/0600 22.0/83.5 50-60 GUSTING TO 70 DEEP DEPRESSION"
Bron:http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/cyclone.htm
"TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
RSMC – TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI
TROPICAL STORM ‘PHAILIN’ ADVISORY NO. TWENTY FIVE ISSUED AT 1400 UTC OF 12THOCTOBER 2013 BASED ON 1200 UTC CHARTS of 12THOCTOBER 2013.
THE VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM, PHAILIN OVER WESTCENTRAL & ADJOINING NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS DURING PAST 3 HOURS WITH A SPEED OF 20 KMPH AND LAY CENTRED AT 1200 UTC OF TODAY, THE 12THOCTOBER 2013 OVER WESTCENTRAL & ADJOINING NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL NEAR LATITUDE 18.70 N AND LONGITUDE 85.20 E, ABOUT 65 KM SOUTHEAST OF GOPALPUR (43049). IT WOULD MOVE NORTHWESTWARDS AND CROSS NORTH ANDHRA PRADESH AND ODISHA COASTS CLOSE TO GOPALPUR (ODISHA) WITHIN FEW HOURS AS A VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM WITH A MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OF 210-220 KMPH GUSTING TO 240 KMPH.
ACCORDING TO SATELLITE IMAGERIES, THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM IS T 6.0. INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION IS SEEN BETWEEN LAT 12.50 N TO 21.00 N AND WEST OF LONG 90.00 E ALONG ODISHA AND NORTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH. THE LOWEST CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE (CTT) IS ABOUT -740C.
DWR VISAKHAPATNAM IS TRACKING THE SYSTEM AND REPORTED CENTRE AS LATITUDE 18.7 0N AND LONGITUDE 85.20E AT 1200 UTC.
GOPALPUR (43049) HAS REPORTED MAXIMUM 24 HOURS PRESSURE FALL OF 24.4 HPA, MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 90 KNOTS FROM EASTERLY DIRECTION HAS BEEN REPORTED OVER PURI (ODISHA).
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND SPEED IS ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 120 KNOTS AROUND THE SYSTEM
CENTRE. THE STATE OF THE SEA IS PHENOMENAL AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE.
THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ABOUT 936 HPA.
ESTIMATED TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM ARE GIVEN IN THE TABLE BELOW:DATE/TIME(UTC) POSITION
(LAT. 0N/ LONG. 0E) SUSTAINED MAXIMUM
SURFACE WIND SPEED (KMPH) CATEGORY
12-10-2013/1200 18.7/85.2 210-220 GUSTING TO 240 VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
12-10-2013/1800 20.2/84.3 170-180 GUSTING TO 200 VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
13-10-2013/0000 21.2/84.0 80-90 GUSTING TO 100 CYCLONIC STORM
13-10-2013/0600 22.0/83.5 50-60 GUSTING TO 70 DEEP DEPRESSION"
Bron:http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/cyclone.htm
Laatst gewijzigd door Karel op 12-10-2013 17:31, 1 keer totaal gewijzigd.
Re: Golf van Bengalen tropische cyclonen 2013
Hierbij nog wat extra info
Very dangerous Tropical Cyclone Phailin has made landfall on the northeast coast of India near the town of Gopalpur (population 7,000) at 16 UTC (noon EDT) Saturday, October 12, 2013. Phailin was weakening substantially at landfall, due to interaction with land, and was rated a Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), four hours before landfall. The pressure bottomed out at 938 mb in Gopalpur as the eye passed over, and the city reported sustained winds of 56 mph, gusting to 85 mph, in the eyewall. A 938 mb pressure is what one expects to find in a Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds, using the "Dvorak technique" of satellite wind and pressure estimation. Satellite images show that Phailin's intense thunderstorms have warmed and shrunk in areal coverage, and radar out of Visakhapanam, India also shows a weakening of the storm's echoes as it pushes inland. Phailin is bringing torrential rains of over an inch per hour, as estimated by microwave satellite instruments.
Very dangerous Tropical Cyclone Phailin has made landfall on the northeast coast of India near the town of Gopalpur (population 7,000) at 16 UTC (noon EDT) Saturday, October 12, 2013. Phailin was weakening substantially at landfall, due to interaction with land, and was rated a Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), four hours before landfall. The pressure bottomed out at 938 mb in Gopalpur as the eye passed over, and the city reported sustained winds of 56 mph, gusting to 85 mph, in the eyewall. A 938 mb pressure is what one expects to find in a Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds, using the "Dvorak technique" of satellite wind and pressure estimation. Satellite images show that Phailin's intense thunderstorms have warmed and shrunk in areal coverage, and radar out of Visakhapanam, India also shows a weakening of the storm's echoes as it pushes inland. Phailin is bringing torrential rains of over an inch per hour, as estimated by microwave satellite instruments.
Re: Golf van Bengalen tropische cyclonen 2013
Hier is het landfall proces door middel van computeranimatie te zien :http://202.54.31.51/hwrf/2013101212/NEST_CENTER/hwrf_ctr.htm
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- Berichten: 514
Re: Golf van Bengalen tropische cyclonen 2013
Ter informatie; Er zit een nieuw (laatste van het seizoen?) exemplaar in de Golf van Bengalen in de omgeving van de Andaman eilanden. Hij heeft inmiddels een naam: Lehar
Deze storm zou wel eens stevig kunnen uitpakken. Nu al wordt het verwacht dat ie cat. III gaat halen. Hij is echter al meer ontwikkeld dan aanvankelijk verwacht en gaat thans op ruw weg de grens tussen de Indische deelstaten Orissa en Andhra Pradesh af.
Mazzel & broge, Evert
Naschrift 28/11/2013:
De ene keer "ontploft" een tropische storm en wordt het "murder & mahem", de andere keer wordt het een "fizzle". Deze keer werd het dus het laatste. Het bleef beperkt tot wat regen en wind bij het aanlanden in Andhra Pradesh.
Deze storm zou wel eens stevig kunnen uitpakken. Nu al wordt het verwacht dat ie cat. III gaat halen. Hij is echter al meer ontwikkeld dan aanvankelijk verwacht en gaat thans op ruw weg de grens tussen de Indische deelstaten Orissa en Andhra Pradesh af.
Mazzel & broge, Evert
Naschrift 28/11/2013:
De ene keer "ontploft" een tropische storm en wordt het "murder & mahem", de andere keer wordt het een "fizzle". Deze keer werd het dus het laatste. Het bleef beperkt tot wat regen en wind bij het aanlanden in Andhra Pradesh.
Laatst gewijzigd door Oud-forumlid op 28-11-2013 20:37, 1 keer totaal gewijzigd.
Re: Golf van Bengalen tropische cyclonen 2013
Lehar ziet er inderdaad imposant uit. (974hPa, 65kts, 12,6N 90,6 E).
Aankomst aan land berekend over 78 uur: http://202.54.31.51/hwrf/2013112500/NEST_CENTER/hwrf_ctr.htm
Aankomst aan land berekend over 78 uur: http://202.54.31.51/hwrf/2013112500/NEST_CENTER/hwrf_ctr.htm
Laatst gewijzigd door Karel op 25-11-2013 16:56, 1 keer totaal gewijzigd.